Premier League · Sun, May 24, 16:00 · Final: 3–0
Halftime 0-0 at London Stadium. West Ham have been the sharper side, outshooting Leeds 4-1 (2-1 on target) and generating 0.15 xG to Leeds' 0.05, but neither team has broken through. Leeds' discipline has been poor: J. Bijol and B. Aaronson both booked inside 25 minutes, limiting their midfield aggression. West Ham's 46% possession is uncharacteristically low, but they've created three inside-box shots, suggesting they are finding space behind Leeds' press. The match is open but low-quality in the final third. Second half likely sees West Ham push harder; Leeds may struggle to avoid a second yellow. The market's 2.10 for Over 2.5 Goals looks short given the first-half output and Leeds' defensive discipline risk. I see value in the Under 2.5 Goals at 1.80, as the game's pattern suggests a tight, low-scoring second half.