Premier League · Sun, May 24, 16:00 · Final: 0–3
Brighton 0-1 Manchester United at the break. The visitors lead through P. Dorgu's 33rd-minute goal, assisted by B. Fernandes, but the scoreline flatters United given the underlying play. Brighton have dominated possession (57%) and created 4 total shots, though none on target, with an xG of just 0.10. United have been efficient but not dominant, with limited attacking output beyond the goal. The Seagulls' lack of shots on target is a concern, but their passing accuracy (88%) and territorial control suggest they are creating half-chances. Expect Brighton to increase pressure after the interval, potentially leading to more shots on target. The market currently prices Brighton at 2.10 to win, which seems generous given their first-half dominance. However, their inability to test the goalkeeper is a red flag. A better value play is Over 2.5 goals at 2.00, as Brighton's push for an equalizer should open up space for United on the counter. The first half had only one goal, but the second half is likely to see more attacking intent from both sides.